Portfolio as of 03/06/2013 & Returns

My current holding are not significantly different from a month earlier. The major purchases that I made in last one month are PCLN, ARUN and KORS.

Slow but Sturdy

QCOM – (Entered at $59) – 4%

GILD – (Entered at $55 Pre-split) – 5%

EBAY – (Entered at $51) – 4%

F – (Entered at $16 and doubled at $9) – 6%

NOV – (Entered at $66) – 5%

ROST – (Entered at $65 and doubled at $57) – 4%

HAL – (Entered at $30, sold at $37 and added more at $35 later) – 3%

AAPL – (Entered at $350, sold 50% at $590, added more at $500 later) – 6%

PCLN — (Entered recently at $695) – 7%

HD – (Entered at $60) – 5%

CELG – (Entered at $103.5) – 3%

LEN – (Entered at $36 sold at $41) – 3%

DHI – (Entered $22.8 (recent)) – 3%

Aggressive growth

WLK – (Entered at $75, sold 50% $92 recently & reentered at $83) – 4%

LNKD – (Entered at $95, sold 50% at $124 recently; added at $132 & sold 50% at $160) – 3%

KORS – (Entered at 62.5 and doubled at $59.5) – 4%

CLR – (Entered at $75) – 3%

ARUN – (Entered at $24.5) – 4%

URI – (ENTERED AT $37.5) – 4%

CHUY – (Entered at $26.5 and doubled at $28.5) – 3%

CVLT – (Entered at $75.5) – 4%

DKS – (Entered at $50) – 4%

Perf1

Advertisements

Portfolio Holdings as of 02/04/2013 (& last three month returns)

Slow but Sturdy

QCOM – (Entered at $59) – 5%

GILD – (Entered at $55 Pre-split) – 5%

EBAY – (Entered at $51) – 5%

F – (Entered at $16 and doubled at $9) – 8%

NOV – (Entered at $66) – 6%

ROST – (Entered at $65 and doubled at $57) – 5%

HAL – (Entered at $30, sold at $37 and added more at $35 later) – 5%

AAPL – (Entered at $350, sold 50% at $590, added more at $500 later) – 8%

FFIV – (Entered at $104) – 4%

HD – (Entered at $60) – 6%

Aggressive growth

LEN – (Entered at $36) – 4%

DHI – (Entered $22.8 (recent)) – 3%

WLK – (Entered at $75 & sold 50% $92 recently) – 3%

LNKD – (Entered at $95 and sold 50% at $124 recently) – 3%

CLR – (Entered at $75) – 4%

URI – (ENTERED AT $37.5) – 5%

CHUY – (Entered at $26.5 and doubled at $28.5) – 3%

FB – (Entered at $25.5, sold some at $32.5 but added more at $28.9 later) – 3%

CVLT – (Entered at $75.5) – 5%

DKS – (Entered at $50) – 4%

LVS – (Entered at $54) – 2%

Returns generated in two accounts (aggressive and long term (401K + stocks)) in last three months –

Returns

BREAKING OUT – 01/25/2013

With the bull still wild, we have another good set of promising breakouts.

TPX

Before we go anywhere let’s look at a breakout we talked about yesterday. Interestingly, GAAP EPS of $0.39 for Q4 were 54% lower than the prior-year quarter’s $0.84 per share. For the quarter, gross margin was 50.0%, 210 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 15.0%, 840 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 6.9%, 850 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Decreased 7.01% to $342 million from the year-earlier quarter.

But it did one thing right – The EPS of $0.60 a share, beat the $0.55 average analyst estimate. Revenue of $342 million also beat the $339 million estimate. Result-

TPX

The surprise of the day is a break out of good ole Proctor and Gamble. Earnings is the driver for this BO. Kudos to the management’s effort, the Adjusted gross and adjusted operating margins popped 110 basis points to 51.2% and 20.0%. Underlying second-quarter sales ticked up 3% year over year–on top of a 4% increase in last year’s second quarter–including a 5% jump in baby and feminine care, 4% in health care, and 3% in fabric and home care.

PG

CHUY: Fast growing TexMex joint broke out today. But there is a road bump right ahead. I entered it at $26.4 today.

CHUY

HAL: Been a long time favorite of mine – Halliburton. It broke out today. I have owned it since it’s early 30s. I would wait for some consolidation before entering now due the run up it had in last two months.

Today’s BO was due to better than expected earnings. All three of Halliburton’s international regions and 8 of its 12 product lines set new revenue records. Sequentially, the Middle East/Asia region increased revenue 14% to $1.2 billion, and in the Europe/Africa/Commonwealth of Independent States region, revenue increased 8% over the same time frame to $1.2 billion as well. Overall, Halliburton’s international operating margin improved to 17.6% from 14.6% in the prior quarter. But the picture was exactly opposite in US. The revenue dipped 5% sequentially to $3.8 billion while adjusted operating income declined 22% over the same time frame to $465 million. The operating margin for the region declined to 12.4% from 14.1% last quarter, still above Baker Hughes’ BHI 8.7%. Overall the revenue was up 3% YoY.

HAL

Other key breakouts have been – PCLN (Priceline), ROSE (Rosetta Resources – Need to compare this with CLR), TEX (Terex), THO (Thor Industries) and CPWR (Compuware – a prime recruiter in Detroit Area.)

Break Out Watch List – KORS, JOBS, ISRG, MDVN, CTRX, LL and LNKD.

Lastly, what happens when you miss the estimates by miles –

SCSS

Analysts polled by FactSet expected the company to earn 32 cents per share on revenue of $229.8 million.

Net income fell to $12.5 million, or 22 cents per share, for the period ended Dec. 29. That compares with $15.4 million, or 27 cents per share, in the same quarter last year. Select Comfort’s total revenue increased 17 percent to $220.6 million. Select Comfort expects to earn between $1.65 and $1.80 in fiscal 2013 fiscal. Analysts forecast $1.89 per share.

Well, you get pummeled!

SCSS

I initiated a short at $23.5 with stop at $24.5. Now I will close it at $21. This being a bull market. I think any short is a risky proposition.